China, Hong Kong and The Philippines

As scenes of the devastation in the Philippines take over the media, it’s yet another horror story in a long line of tragedies.

The thing is, with climate change, these Pacific storms are getting stronger and more frequent. This will happen again next year and the year after and the year after that. The Philippines will continue to be devastated by storm after storm because outside of Manila most of the infrastructure sucks (and even Manila needs quite a bit of work) and the government is too corrupt and too intent on lining their own pockets to actually fix things in a country with abundant natural resources and a somewhat decent education system.

In the meantime, there is the tragedy at hand. It is worth noting that while Australia and the UK have each donated US$9 million, global power China has sneezed in Manila’s direction with $100,000, which I’m sure will go a long way towards repairing the probable trillion dollars worth of destruction there.

Locally, let’s not forget Hong Kong’s fearless leader, C.Y. Leung, who has been threatening sanctions against the Philippines because President Noynoy Aquino so far has refused to issue an official apology for the bus massacre several years ago.  Leung has given Aquino 30 days to apologize and pay up or he will put his sanctions into place.  Now, following the massive devastation in the islands, Leung notes that the Philippines has not asked for an extension of that 30 day deadline.  Apparently it hasn’t occurred to the fucktoad that they might be a bit busy at the moment or that they might be a bit short of ready cash.

19 thoughts on “China, Hong Kong and The Philippines”

  1. Well said. I’ve been wondering how CY Leung would change his demands in light of the typhoon, but I had underestimated just how big of a prick he could be.

  2. Deepest sympathy to the Filipinos.

    But, getting worse? Most likely not:

    Weinkle et al., 2012:
    http://models.weatherbell.com/weinkle_maue_pielke.pdf

    From currently available historical TC records, we constructed a long-period global hurricane landfall dataset using a consistent methodology. We have identified considerable interannual variability in the frequency of global hurricane landfalls; but within the resolution of the available data, our evidence does not support the presence of significant long-period global or individual basin linear trends for minor, major, or total hurricanes within the period(s) covered by the available quality data.
    Therefore, our long-period analysis does not support claims that increasing TC landfall frequency or landfall intensity has contributed to concomitantly increasing economic losses.

      1. Hi Spike… it is a published paper, in the Journal of Climate.
        http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00719.1

        Then there is this by Ryan N Mau – showing no increase in global Tropical Cyclone Accumulated Cyclone Energy : http://policlimate.com/tropical/global_running_ace.png
        (Note on the same page, North Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy however does show an increase)

        And this by the IPCC: (leaked AR5 draft)

        On lack of trends in extremes, exceptions are trends seen in temperature extremes and regional precipitation (but not floods).
        IPCC on tropical cyclones “…AR4 assessment needs to be somewhat revised with respect to the confidence levels associated with observed trends”.
        On XTCs “unlike in AR4, it is assessed here.. There is low confidence of regional changes in the intensity of extreme extra-tropical cyclones” .
        IPCC tropical cyclones are the same as SREX: “low confidence that any reported long term increases in tropical cyclone activity are robust”.
        Ch2 bottom line on extremes: “generally low confidence that there have been discernible changes over the observed record”
        Ch2 on tropical cyclones: “current datasets indicate no significant observed trends in global tropical cyclone frequency”.
        Ch2 on drought: “The current assessment does not support the AR4 conclusions regarding global increasing trends in droughts”.
        Ch2: “…low confidence regarding the sign of trend in the magnitude and/or frequency of floods on a global scale”.
        Ch2: “…there is currently no clear and widespread evidence for observed changes in flooding” excpt timing of snowmelt.

        http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/review-drafts/

  3. Im an Australian and I think $9m is a joke. Nothing to crow about. Our current government is in denial when it comes to climate change. The way I see it we (Australia) are part of the climate change problem and $9m doesn’t cut it.

    Btw congratulations on getting hitched. I hope your soon to be wife’s family are okay.

  4. The stories on rampant corruption makes me wonder which organization should we donate money to ensure that it indeed goes to the needy?

  5. Hi Spike. Well, perhaps I should have said “published in a respected peer-reviewed journal”, but that is beside the point.

    I have no opinion on the story of CAGW one way or the other, but the point is that there is so far no evidence anywhere that storms are actually getting worse, and even the concerned scientists interviewed in the media about this storm phrase their statements very carefully.

    Of course, the journalists and the headline writers don’t hold back, and that is where most of us great unwashed masses get our ‘knowledge’. Very few delve deeper and see what the facts are.

  6. Fair enough Spike, we all tend to do that.

    I always try to focus on the data, not the hype. But no doubt there are things that slip past me, too.

    Regards, Mark.

  7. “Fucktoad” – a perfect use of the word, nice one. It is morally repugnant to ask for, sorry, DEMAND, an apology in what was a terrible tragedy that was no one’s fault beyond some deranged nutter. They should be ashamed of themselves for using the plight of these poor people as a shield for their political machinations. Horrible horrible horrible. It’s fucking disgusting. In what light can this ever been seen as anything other than bullying the poor kid while standing in the shadow of the biggest bully in the playground. Jesus Christ as I am typing this I am getting more angry. Time to start planning next year’s holiday to the Philippines – tourist dollars go a long way and hopefully tell this fucking government what they can do with their sanctions. Is there some sort of “not in my name” protest we can sign?

  8. Human-generated CO2 is 0.01% of the amount the earth creates naturally.

    There may be global warming, but it’s not man-made.

    LESS hurricanes / typhoons hit the US and Philippines than 10 years ago.

    Difference? Larger populations near coastlines. The population of the Philippines doubled in the past 35 years!

    Trillions?!? You’re hugely lessening any credibility you may have with that figure.

    Katrina created $108 billion of financial damage. It is a shame we can’t put a number on human cost other than lives and injuries.

    Before anyone thinks I’m unsympathetic, I’ve been to two locations that were in the eye of the storm Malapascua and Coron). I feel strongly for the plight Yolanda has left, and donated immediately.

  9. Australia is now up to $20M in cash (and rising) and plenty more logistical and supply support. Aus gave $1.4Billion to Indonesia in their Tsunami disaster (much of which went into the pockets of corrupt officials), if a country of 22million people can do that why can’t 1.4 billion people do a bit better?

    1. Australia is now up to $28 million. Japan is up to $30 million. Even Coca Cola and Ikea are each donating more than China.

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